[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"content-doc-dciocd3f7c3f":3},{"user":4,"document":8,"mainDocument":27,"columnUrl":29,"subscription":30,"footer":42,"text":77},{"isAuthenticated":5,"isAdmin":5,"displayName":6,"avatarUrl":6,"nid":6,"groupLevel":7},false,"",-10,{"id":9,"fullTitle":10,"subTitle":6,"url":11,"columnId":12,"columnName":13,"columnUrl":14,"summary":6,"contentHtml":15,"mainContentHtml":6,"posterUrl":16,"createDate":17,"displayDate":18,"displayDateSlash":19,"pageviews":20,"tags":21,"hidden":5,"isSubContent":5,"replyDocOrTargetId":6,"contentType":23,"videoId":6,"liveVideoUrl":6,"duration":24,"price":24,"priceText":25,"priceBadgeText":25,"priceBadgeClass":26,"freeForMinGroupLevel":24,"redirectUrl":6,"readyToStream":5},"dciocd3f7c3f","扎克伯格押注预测市场赛道！Meta(META)开发新应用“Arena”-对标Kalshi与Polymarket","\u002Fdoc\u002Fdciocd3f7c3f","col18178739ee","美股资讯","\u002Fcol\u002Fcol18178739ee","\u003Cp> \u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">美股投资网获悉，据知情人士透露，Meta Platforms(META)首席执行官扎克伯格已指示一支小型团队开发一款类似Kalshi和Polymarket的预测市场应用，希望借助这一近年来快速升温的新兴赛道进一步提升用户参与度。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">报道称，这款仍处于开发阶段的独立应用在Meta内部代号为“Arena”。与传统预测市场平台不同，Arena预计不会涉及真实资金下注，而是采用积分奖励机制，让用户围绕体育赛事、政治事件等现实世界热点进行预测和互动。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">知情人士表示，Arena未来将作为Meta现有社交媒体生态的补充产品，为用户提供一个围绕实时事件展开讨论、预测和互动的平台。Meta发言人对此消息拒绝置评。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">近年来，预测市场行业发展迅速。该类平台允许用户对选举结果、体育赛事、经济数据甚至国际热点事件等现实世界结果进行预测，并通过市场价格反映事件发生概率。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">随着美国监管环境逐步转向友好，预测市场行业迎来快速扩张。Kalshi和Polymarket等平台成为主要受益者，估值均已达到数十亿美元规模，并吸引越来越多散户和机构投资者关注。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">尤其是在美国总统选举、重大体育赛事以及宏观经济事件期间，预测市场平台的交易量和用户活跃度显著增长，逐渐成为观察市场预期和公众情绪的重要窗口。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">在此背景下，Meta显然希望借助这一趋势拓展新的用户互动场景。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">不过，与Kalshi和Polymarket等允许用户使用真实资金参与交易的平台不同，Arena目前预计不会涉及现金投注。知情人士称，该产品更可能采用积分系统，通过游戏化方式鼓励用户参与预测活动，从而降低监管风险并扩大用户覆盖范围。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">分析人士认为，如果Arena最终上线，将进一步丰富Meta在社交互动领域的产品矩阵，并有望与Facebook、Instagram、Threads等平台形成联动效应，提升用户停留时间和参与度。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">近年来，Meta持续加大对新产品和新业务模式的探索力度，从人工智能(AI)、虚拟现实到短视频和即时通讯商业化，公司正试图在社交网络之外寻找新的增长引擎。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">市场人士指出，预测市场兼具社交属性、娱乐属性和信息发现功能，与Meta现有业务存在较高协同空间。虽然Arena暂不涉及真钱交易，若未来用户接受度较高，不排除Meta进一步探索相关商业模式的可能性。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">目前，Arena仍处于早期开发阶段，产品功能和上线时间尚未最终确定。\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">最专业的美股资讯,推荐美股大数据 \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002FStockwe.com\u002F\">https:\u002F\u002FStockwe.com\u002F\u003C\u002Fa>\u003C\u002Fspan>\u003C\u002Fp>\r\n\u003Cp>\u003Cspan style=\"font-size: large;\">如何识别美股市场异常波动？美国机构主力资金买卖情况，出货和吸筹，使用美股投资网VIP会员，2008年成立于美国硅谷，由前纽约证券交易所分析师Ken创立，联合多位摩根斯坦利分析师，谷歌 Meta工程师利用AI和大数据，配合十多年美股实战经验和业内量化模型，建立了一个股市数据库 \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002FStockWe.com\u002F\">https:\u002F\u002FStockWe.com\u002F\u003C\u002Fa> 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buy@TradesMax.com 美国电话 626-378-3637","公司介绍","\u003Cp class=\"MsoNormal\">美股大数据 StockWe.com 是一个美国领先的金融和美股信息大数据提供商，紧盯华尔街金融市场和行情，2008年成立于美国硅谷，创始人是前纽约证券交易所资深分析师Ken，联合多位摩根斯坦利分析师，谷歌 Meta工程师利用AI和大数据，配合十多年美股实战经验和业内量化交易模型，每天处理千万级股票数据：挖掘潜力大牛股，捕捉期权异动大单，实时主力资金流向、机构持仓变化、川普突发新闻，精准买卖信号第一时间发到您手机APP。\u003C\u002Fp>","专业美股投资者都在这里",{"loading":78,"search":79,"searchPlaceholder":79,"hotContent":80,"draft":81,"noData":82,"searchNoData":83,"edit":84,"editVideo":85,"courseContent":86,"more":87,"buyNow":88,"subscribeNow":89,"encoding":90,"paidContent":91},"Loading...","搜索","热门内容","草稿","目前没有任何内容公布","当前检索内容没有数据","编辑","编辑视频","课程内容","更多","立即购买后观看","- 立即订阅 -","视频编码中...","付费内容"]